Seamanship Quotation

“In political activity, then, men sail a boundless and bottomless sea; there is neither harbour for shelter nor floor for anchorage, neither starting-place nor appointed destination.”
— from Michael Oakeshott's
“Political Education” (1951)
Showing posts with label black voters. Show all posts
Showing posts with label black voters. Show all posts

Friday, March 1, 2013

Republican Rebranding: “We’re Afraid and Selfish—Aren’t You?”


Republicans represent bad tidings as the times get better. They rail against a retiring President. They oppose any positive federal government measures to transform the economy and, at the same time, make it easier for everyone to rise with it. They fear for the rich and for defense spending. And they’re positions work with Republicans—and are broadly understood by most everyone else.   

Professional pride, if not personal ambition, is forcing Republican leaders to re-assess their brand. They liked running the federal government in the past and would like a shot at winning a winnable election in 2016.

Ryan Lizza's “The House of Pain” in the New Yorker this week meticulously reports on how Republican Majority Leader Eric Cantor and his caucus are circling around the problem. These two quotes are interesting in that they are becoming the memes of pragmatic conservatism.

“At the January retreat, a halfway point in the midst of these budget battles, Cantor sounded chastened, or, at least, like a man wanting to appear chastened. 'We’ve got to understand that people don’t think Republicans have their back,' he said. 'Whether it’s the middle class, whether it’s the Latino or the Asian vote.' It was not 'necessarily our policies' but, rather, how 'we’ve been portrayed.' He added, 'It goes to that axiom about how people don’t really care how much you know until they know you care. So we’ve got to take that to heart and, I think, look to be able to communicate why we’re doing what we’re doing.'

“'Well, we have features that we’re for, whether it’s balanced budgets, whether it’s fiscal prudence or reforming entitlements,' he said. 'Those are features—those aren’t ends in themselves. But they’re going to produce a stronger America. They’re going to save the safety-net programs for those who need them.'”

These statements don’t offend the base, but—alone—won’t change their image with the broader electorate.

When Republicans were different, they did well with the Hispanic bourgeoisie and very well with Asian American voters. Lloyd Green outlines in the Daily Beast “Why Asian-Americans have turned against the Republican Party.” He points out that their very material and educational success has made Asian Americans progressively less inclined to identify with white Republican resentment and fear.

Let’s put one more on the table: racism.

All things being equal, there isn’t any reason to expect Hispanic and Asian American voters to be more tolerant toward blacks than is the American white majority. Nevertheless, they are both minorities—and minorities, if not majorities, today do have each other’s back.

The vehemence of the Republican campaign against the person of Barack Obama, likely, not only alarmed blacks but also turned off Hispanics and Asian Americans.

From this perspective, Cantor hasn’t moved the puck very far. He has offered his hand two minorities—but did not mention America’s black population. He repeats their promise to save the safety net for “those who most need it.” He uses five words rather than a simple two: “the poor.” And his caucus goes on record favoring deeper spending cuts in Medicaid in order to lighten cuts in the Pentagon.

Monday, July 16, 2012

Condoleezza Rice: under-employed politician or over-rated intellectual?


By popular standards of pundit speculation, Condoleezza Rice should have the nomination as Romney’s running mate nailed—for at least another week.

She’s had senior government experience—and has never raised a tax, launched an entitlement, or borrowed a cent from China. She’s a visible member of two shrinking minorities in the Republican Party. She’s an academic in a party that has exhausted its rhetoric against the pointy-headed intellectual in the White House. And Condoleezza Rice is the most popular and recognized potential candidate out there—70% of those who think they know who she is also like her.


Last week’s special reasons for catapulting her into first place in the VP guessing game were twofold: someone close to the Romney campaign said she was, and a few good sources reported that she’d just “electrified” a select audience of Romney advisors, fundraisers, and Republican elders at a private retreat in Park City, Utah. 

Good sense argues that these reasons aren’t good enough.

Governor Rick Perry was supposed to be charismatic, too, and spreading a fanciful rumor about a nice lady is better politics than fighting the other guy’s fanciful rumors about Mitt Romney’s finances. No one gets hurt.

Nevertheless, there are two rather surprising reasons for suspecting that she might end up on the ticket.

One: Romney’s speech to the NAACP last week made it brutally clear that his own campaign and his platform will make the least effort of any Republican campaign in modern history to reach out to black voters on their terms.

Romney is reconciled to make it all the way to the White House with white votes. Having a cerebral black running mate would help those white votes reconcile themselves to the idea as well.

Two: she sounds like she wants it. Just listen to Buzzfeed’s pirated audio of that 13-minute speech.


Rice slavishly repeats the most belligerent talking points of Gingrich, McCain, and Romney. She makes Ambassador Huntsman sound like a European. Her attacks on Obama’s personal leadership and affection for “entitlements” are as one-sided, alarmist, and bitter as any remarks that could be asked of—and ghosted for—any potential attack-dog for the Romney ticket.

Concern that Rice’s “moderate pro-choice” position on abortion would be too great a swallow for social conservatives is naïve. They’ll still fight against the greater evil—Barack Obama. Conversely, Romney strategists can’t hope to cut into Obama’s support amongst blacks by repeating that too many blacks are unemployed and that the highest marginal tax rate is too high.

Finally, her candidacy—along with her speech—would nicely irritate liberals and black leaders.

Romney, the artless businessman who can’t dance, could, in fact, create a scene that could arouse and enthuse the Silent Majority: there those lefties go again, rubbing our noses in past mistakes and complaining about a fine black professional who doesn’t whine, apologize for Iraq, or even talk about food stamps and universal healthcare.