Seamanship Quotation

“In political activity, then, men sail a boundless and bottomless sea; there is neither harbour for shelter nor floor for anchorage, neither starting-place nor appointed destination.”
— from Michael Oakeshott's
“Political Education” (1951)
Showing posts with label US super-committee. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US super-committee. Show all posts

Monday, November 21, 2011

Anti-tax Republicans: the dangerous friends of the rich


Early in Western democracy, conservative parties favored old money over new money and new ideas. Coaxed along by Disraeli and, in America, by Lincoln and the Roosevelts, they learned to protect private property and free enterprise by governing competently and accommodating change. They were wealth’s best friend, but not its plaything.
Great entrepreneurs, with their own image makers and large libraries, didn’t necessarily like conservative politicians or admire their profession. They were risk-takers and often dreamers, and conservative politicians generally were neither.
However, the rich feared ideas on the left far more than the absence of ideas on the right. So, they left politics to tactically adept conservative politicians. They favored inconspicuous elite deal-making in foreign policy and economic development and didn’t put their faith in populist manipulators.
The compromisers, so-called Wets and RINOS—Eisenhower, Churchill, Nixon, and George Bush Sr. along with others—were central to the twin success of capitalist growth and mass democracy, of brutal economic change in societies that wanted ever-greater personal security and material improvement.
That was then.
Can our civilization now succeed without them?
As Congress’ super-committee struggles vainly to address the untenable US deficit, the question of greatest urgency is not whether money is politically powerful but why the friends of money today are so reckless?
Tim Dickinson has written a devastating article on the new Republican Party’s obsessive efforts to cut taxes.
He makes a powerful case that White House and Congressional Republicans favor the richest of the rich. However, the Rolling Stone headline “How the GOP became the Party of the Rich” confuses the story in an important way.
The Eric Cantors of the Republican caucus may see themselves as spear carriers for Ayn Rand and American entrepreneurship. They are, however, making their own mistakes in Washington and are not operating according to a secret blueprint written in America’s greatest boardrooms.
Indeed, it is questionable whether the boardrooms that are driving globalization and America’s slow recovery are well served by their efforts.
The refusal of these new Republicans to better align tax revenues with inexorably rising federal expenditures is a geek’s game of chicken: if they can’t slash Washington’s spending pressures in the US political arena, let the Chinese do it by cutting off America’s credit. This is not the kind of political gamble the privileged like to make.
The lack of public disclosure of the billions of private dollars financing US national politics will corrupt democracy. However, corporate money isn’t organized on behalf of one extravagant idea—never new taxes—and doesn’t explain the growing fanaticism of American right-wing politics.
Over the last decade and over recent months of escalating national peril, big money has been extraordinarily passive. They grumble about not being appreciated and pine for a time of fabulous returns and less risk. One thing they haven’t been doing, however, is intelligently advancing their economic interests in Washington. The debt ceiling crisis, the super committee’s imminent collapse, and across-the-board tax cuts on top of a structural deficit are Washington concoctions. Business has largely sat on the sidelines, while its activists and eccentrics have made Herman Cain, Rick Perry, and Sarah Palin household jokes.
The collapse of the super-committee is of immeasurable significance to those interests that do not want the US to change radically, or shrink. It offered moderates their last big opportunity to end run extremists by taking a divisive fiscal mess off of next year's election agenda.
Having failed to find a compromise, there is nothing to stop the next election from being a crude showdown on income and economic inequality—except the conservative temperament of Barack Obama.

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

Ground rules for US budget super-committee

Over the next two weeks, a majority of Democrats and Republicans on the twelve-member supercommittee on fiscal reform will have to agree on how to reduce the US federal deficit by over $2 trillion over the next decade. Smart money bets they’ll fail, setting the stage for another attack on the credibility of the US dollar and sustainable economic recovery.
It sounds smart to say Washington is dysfunctional. However, it’s wise to remember that when Washington is cornered, it usually acts.
Economist Robert Samuelson succinctly lays out why the committee’s assignment transcends pre-election partisan interests:
“Since 1971, federal spending has averaged 21 percent of national income (gross domestic product). Even with aggressive cuts, spending may never again fall this low. The reason: the surge in retirees. Meanwhile, taxes averaged 18 percent of GDP over those years, leaving average annual deficits of 3 percent. The take-away for both liberals and conservatives is repugnant: they need to identify the most justifiable spending cuts -- lots of them -- and the least damaging tax increases, which will still be sizable.
“They need to come clean with reality. For years, they’ve exuded self-serving platitudes. Conservatives should acknowledge that Big Government is a permanent part of the social fabric and that much of what it does is popular. It needs to be financed. Liberals should concede that Big Government can become so big that its crushing taxes weaken the middle class and economic growth. Government then promotes conflict and degrades social justice.
“The supercommittee cannot solve America’s budget problems with one sweeping plan. It cannot remedy runaway health costs or streamline the complex income tax. These large tasks will be left to the next president and Congress. But it can elevate popular understanding by proposing a plan justified by a vision of government’s collective responsibilities and the public’s reciprocal obligations.”
A $2 trillion deal needn’t be unpopular with the general public. When Americans are worried about the future, they don’t turn down solutions in favor of waiting for Christmas.
A decade-long plan that shares the pain and enhances confidence in the future of the US economy and the country’s credibility internationally can be accepted. A half a dozen blue-ribbon studies have already outlined its main features. A deal now that meets the modest expectations of the experts—and the market—could even improve Congress’ dismal approval ratings, now just hovering above single digits.
Lifting the economy and Washington’s standing, of course, would lift the electoral prospects of the president as well.
So, a deal that compromises and mutes the use of “self-serving platitudes” will not be universally well received by election planners, partisan wordsmiths, fundraisers, and presidential aspirants.
Republicans would no longer be as convincing when promising no-new-taxes and labelling their opponents as “class-warriors,” and Democrats would have to relax their rhetoric on the boundless healing powers of wealth taxes.