It’s conceivable that
Canada’s second Calgary prime minister will end his career much like its first,
R.B. Bennett: chasing dreams of wealth across the Atlantic.
Stephen Harper isn’t a traditional
anti-American Tory or a Depression prime minister desperate to find new markets
in Europe. However, Ottawa’s public service still pines to get out from under
America’s shadow and loves to negotiate offshore—and Washington insiders
see no career or national advantage in trying to build a stronger partnership
with Canadians.
Consequently, Canada’s
government is gambling, first, that two have-not provinces—Quebec and New
Brunswick—will facilitate additional Western oil exports via an Atlantic port,
and, second, that demographically declining Europe will help Canada become “less
dependent” on the growing US market. Both projects demonstrate that you don’t
have to be a shallow right-winger to give the 19th century another
try.
To be fair, for a moment,
it’s quite possible that Harper isn’t terribly excited about either enterprise.
Almost alone, he still refers to “North American” energy security. Nevertheless, both long shots have been
dignified in Canada by the Obama administration’s flippant diplomacy toward
Canada and its indifferent approach toward a sustainable North American recovery.
In a piece in the Financial Times on the stalled Canada-EU
trade talks and pending US-EU trade talks, Joshua Chaffin repeats speculation that “Washington has been
encouraging the Canadians to dig in their heels, knowing that any concessions
they win will be a starting point for US negotiators.” Chaffin goes on to note
that the EU and US negotiating dynamics will be different: “…they are more
evenly matched, whereas the EU economy is almost 10 times larger than that of
Canada.”
Chaffin doesn’t offer a clue
about what Canadian negotiators think of this rumored American suggestion. It’s
a bit rich, however, to imagine that US officials with no demonstrable interest
in protecting (let alone expanding) free commercial relations with Canada would
tell Canadians to try to act like big boys in Europe.
Instead of negotiating a
grown-up customs union with the US to match Europe’s, Canada is now off negotiating
on its own. This is a perilous position that wasn’t necessary.
Obama and Harper keep
trudging along as conservative administrators in the least imaginative sense of
the word.
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