If you ignore the partisans on the evening news and embrace
this morning’s Politico—“Inside
talk: Fiscal Framework Emerges”—you can stop worrying about the “Fiscal Cliff”
and start thinking about bigger problems, like climate change, nuclear
proliferation, and the scarcity of well-paying jobs. Washington insiders say: In
private, Obama’s winning; in private, he’ll get his tax increase; in private, they’ll
agree to cut entitlement later.”
Still, legislating is, above all, a public activity. And so
far, the Republican leaders who must publicly consummate the deal are hardly
clouding over their differences with the President. Boehner and McConnell continue
to chant: America has a spending problem, not a tax problem.
Agreeing to a framework that puts taxes first and
entitlement cuts later asks Republicans to turn their rhetoric inside out.
Logically, this shouldn’t be very hard. After all, Mitt
Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan promised to "save" not cut entitlements.
In fact, Ryan disowned his own budget cuts and told his mother and her nervous friends
that Barack Obama was going to steal money from Medicare.
However, in this populist age, it’s not easy to survive in
Congress as a hypocrite.
Furthermore, Obama needs far more than a wee tax rate
increase on the most affluent. Economic confidence needs a fiscal framework
that (1) restores faith in the financial soundness of the biggest federal government
in the world and (2) eliminates the threat on another debt-ceiling showdown
next spring.
Fixing Washington’s finances, however, is not at all what a
good number of Republicans and conservative watchdogs want to do. They’d
probably prefer being right-wingers in Greece than in Sweden.
It’s tempting to take a vow of silence now, to leave the
President alone. This time, they say, he’s winning by not negotiating with
himself—allegedly something America’s legendary negotiators never do.
Nevertheless, no one else seems able to stop the spinning
that’s paralyzed the US government for over two years.
Without pretending he’s just another backslapping, good ol' boy,
Obama could put himself in Republican shoes. Conservatives read history too.
They fear that new revenues get spent, that government grows when it can, and
that government only cuts when unelected bankers say they must.
Concern that robust revenues were leading to ongoing federal
surpluses largely justified George Bush’s first round of time limited income tax cuts. And those cuts were widely accepted
by moderate Democrats.
Why not offer a time
limit on the income tax increases Obama is proposing?
If a future Congress and President were faced with an
automatic vote in, say, 2020 to continue or discontinue the higher tax rates, both
Democrats and Republicans would feel greater pressure to keep the growth of
entitlement spending under control.
The present would be more secure; conservatives and liberals
wouldn’t be so scary when they’re fighting about the future.
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