The expression “sunny ways” was
coined by Wilfred Laurier to spin the compromises his government had to fashion
to hold an intolerant, very young country together. He was a careful builder,
befitting his time. Justin Trudeau uses the same expression proudly, as an unqualified
optimist.
Laurier, however, was a classic
anti-authoritarian, small-government Liberal. He carried on nation-building
infrastructure projects and honored the debts incurred by that binge conservative
John A. Macdonald. Above all, he looked to trade an individual initiative to
grow the economy.
Laurier is not the inspiration
behind Justin Trudeau’s fiscal policy.
The greatest contemporary
practitioner of “sunny ways” was Ronald Reagan. He understood that lecturing
tolerance and applying a traditional conservative fiscal policy wouldn’t
sustain his extraordinary popularity. And he liked being liked.
According to the Joint Economic
Committee of the US Congress (1996), over his eight years in the White House, personal
income tax revenues declined from 9.4% of GDP to 8.3% of GDP. US federal government
spending and deficits, as his critics warned, soared.
Justin Trudeau has Reagan’s
nature, only with new demons to throw money at. Allegedly, he too has been
underestimated all his professional life. As with Reagan, his critics are
simply those who still don’t get it. Reagan would shrug; Trudeau worries that
they’re “deranged.”
So, as George H. W. Bush, a dogged
evidence-based politician, complained about
Reagan’s sunny growth strategy in the 1980s Republican primaries, Canada now
has a fiscal policy in place in Ottawa that can, as well, be called “voodoo
economics.”
My sense is that the Federal Budget 2016 was a transitional, poorly thought out grab bag of what the country voted for. Most of the premises on which it is based are false, most of its assumptions about the future are unlikely and worst of all it will cost us dearly in the decades to come. I have concluded that in critiquing it I will point out the errors that should not be repeated in budget 2017. They have less than a year to begin to listen to their Advisory Council on Economic Growth. You can be pretty confident that Dominic Barton had little input into this budget. http://www.fin.gc.ca/n16/16-031-eng.asp
ReplyDelete