Canada’s new Prime
Minister Justin Trudeau, who’s never ever been the subject of a bad photograph in his life,
believes sincerely in the elixir of “sunny ways.” This is unsurprising and
wholly consistent with the soft ideology of Liberal activists who insist that
all good things start with a stirring “national policy.” Chastened
Conservatives should think twice about this idea.
It’s one thing to
regret not being “sunny.” It’s quite another
to try to get back in power by faking it. And, more important, it would be an
act of masochistic naiveté to accept that the Liberals win elections being *nice.*
For the next four years, Conservatives will be in opposition, a planning
deadline put in law by Stephen Harper’s fixed election legislation. Above
other considerations, they’ll try to pick an appealing campaigner. Charm, a clean resume, a good mind and decent
looks will matter greatly. But most of the time, they better oppose, being
tough, articulate, ruthless critics. On this challenge, Liberals in
opposition—in action—are most informative.
Jean Chrétien, Pierre Trudeau—and his son—didn’t restore Liberal majorities
in 1968, 1974, 1993, and 2015 by appealing strictly to hope. Tory opponents were
not merely out-of-date and gray. They were hair-raisingly blinkered,
ideological, anti-immigrant, anti-science, and uninterested in clean water; and they were not
competent to manage a bilingual, multicultural G7 power or a complex economy
and a sophisticated and sensitive civil service. (When New Democrats, of
course, even get close in the polls, they’re seen as “too socialistic” and soft
on separatists—simplistic and cynical all at once.)
Conservatives itching to get back in the game shouldn’t bother looking
for a visage as luminescent as Justin Trudeau’s or a clean slate. Liberal
attack dogs don’t settle for “just not ready.” They fill in—definitively—what’s
missing. Stockwell Day was a “creationist” and Preston Manning was a radical, America-inspired
populist.
Finally, watch out for what Liberals and their thinkers generously recall
about old Tory statesmen. For instance, they say today that Robert Stanfield
was a gentleman in the campaigns of ’68, ’72, and ’74. They suggest now that he
had the “inclusive” temperament necessary for a winner. Then, the Liberal
portrait was less generous. Then, he was only a gentleman, a decent gardener from
a passé province too conventional to outsmart Liberals, let alone stand up to
wrecking balls like Peter Lougheed and René Lévesque. Joe Clark today is a
sophisticated “red-Tory.” In the 1979 and 1980 campaigns, he was branded as a
right-wing kid who’d try to keep the peace by being the “head-waiter” at federal-provincial conferences.
Sure, Liberals buttressed these harsh images with charming, urbane
campaigners and benign visions of tomorrow. Having less ruthless opponents also
helped. But, “sunny” politics wasn’t their winning secret, ever.
Ironically, their case against Harper also included a case against his
government’s genuine hope that more freedom for provinces (for businesses and
for families) as well as more empathic support for Liberal allies, the United States, and Israel especially would lead to a surer future for, if you like, “sunny” millennials.
Expressed in national politics, conservatism can’t credibly be as sunny
as today’s liberals about the role of the federal government in the country’s
affairs. Nevertheless, identifying the excesses of your opponents sure didn’t
get in the way of Justin Trudeau’s brutally successful campaign.
Hard-pressed swing voters are as heartfelt about their dreams as natural
governing intellectuals are about theirs. But they aren’t terribly dreamy
about what they expect from the federal government. The accusation that Harper
was an “ideologue” stuck. But that’s just a fancy way of landing that old bread-and-butter charge of: incompetence.
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